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DP Stat Forecasting issue

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Hi All,

 

We came across the following issue recently:

 

The given product, location combination is designated to the selection used for AUTO model selection (strategy 56). So as expected, it is subjected to Auto Model forecasting. Please refer the screenshot below for better understanding:

 

Dawn.JPG

 

We've based our forecasting on Corrected Sales History key figure (3rd key figure above, this is the key figure we reference in Historical Key figure in Univariate profile).

 

We thought that the forecasting model will read the Corrected Sales History key figure. However, when we run in background, it selects Croston method because it thinks that there are more than 66.67% zeros in historical data (which is not true as seen above).

 

Background job log:

Dawn2.JPG

However, when we run it interactively, it doesn't have 0 values in corrected history:

 

Dawn3.JPG

Can someone give us some inputs as to what is going on?

 

Following are the settings we have:

1) Corrected Sales History is macro calculated key figure (Sales History or Sales Adjustments)

2) Corrected History is system calculated key figure (as it is assigned in PA Admin > Extra > Forecast Settings)

3) We've not checked 'Read Corr. History Data from Planning Version' check box under Read Historical Data tab of Univariate profile

4) We do not have any outlier correction, set up for the Auto Model.

 

Thanks!


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